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Nasdaq Composite : 31/08/10

NAS-310810.png

Côté Nasdaq, la semaine a donc été passée à travailler le gap ouvert mardi dernier. Prenant appui sur l’horizontale des 2120 que nous avions un peu laissé de côté après son enfoncement de début juillet, le Nasdaq a ainsi quatre jours consécutifs tenté de le combler, sans y parvenir. Un signe de faiblesse qui est à prendre en compte, même s’il ne s’est pas traduit pour l’heure par une reprise de la tendance baissière.

En attendant, comme pour le Dow Jones, nous revoilà à peu de choses près dans la même situation que mardi dernier, avec une pression toujours sur les bulls, et une marge de manoeuvre clairement réduite, mais aussi un certain nombre de supports non négligeables à proximité.

L’histoire de ces prochains jours est donc loin d’être écrite. A la baisse, en dehors des 2100, qui tiennent toujours bon, le Nasdaq pourra compter sur le tracé vert foncé sur 2080/2090, puis sur l’oblique orange vers 2060/2065, avant l’oblique en pointillés verts sur 2040/2045.
En dessous, la baisse se confirmerait, avec pour premier objectif les 2015/2020, puis éventuellement la zone des 1970. La base du canal marron et l’horizontale des 1880 seraient les niveaux suivants, mais sont encore bien lointains. Nous aurons a priori le temps d’y revenir si un tel scénario se mettait en place.

A contrario, un retour au dessus de l’oblique rouge vers 2135 ce mercredi, puis surtout au dessus du gap des 2160, relancerait clairement les bulls. Une invalidation du gap de mardi dernier permettrait en effet de ramener le Nasdaq vers sa MM20, avant d’envisager un retour en direction de l’oblique marron. Le gros gap baissier des 2260 sera par contre désormais situé au delà de cette oblique, avec les conséquences que l’on peut imaginer. Nous y reviendrons si le marché repartait de l’avant.

Un dernier mot pour les amateurs de biseaux, qui en trouveront un très beau formé ces dernières semaines. Nous ne nous y attarderons pas, ces figures étant particulièrement délicates à gérer.

A lire également :
Analyse CAC 30/08/10
Analyse Dow Jones 24/08/10
Analyse Nasdaq 24/08/10

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